Global Coffee Production & Consumption Trends

Summary

Global coffee production reached 11.4M metric tons in 2025, up 14% from 10.0M in 2024, driven primarily by a record Brazilian harvest.
Arabica's share of total output rose from 57% to 62%, reversing a three-year trend toward Robusta dominance.
Per-capita consumption in East Asia grew 31% YoY, making it the fastest-growing demand region for the second year running.
Average green bean spot price fell 8% ($4.12/kg to $3.79/kg) as supply growth outpaced demand.

1. Production Overview

Monthly global coffee production volume (green bean equivalent) and variety split.

11.4M t

2025 Production (metric tons)

+14% from 10.0M t (2024)

62%

Arabica Share (2025)

+5pp from 57% (2024)

$3.79/kg

Avg Green Bean Price (2025)

-8% from $4.12/kg (2024)

Quarter	Production (kt)	Arabica %	Robusta %	Avg Price ($/kg)	Exports (kt)
2024 Q1	2,310	56%	44%	4.28	1,840
2024 Q2	2,480	55%	45%	4.15	1,960
2024 Q3	2,690	58%	42%	4.02	2,150
2024 Q4	2,520	59%	41%	4.01	2,010
2025 Q1	2,640	60%	40%	3.94	2,100
2025 Q2	2,870	61%	39%	3.82	2,310
2025 Q3	3,120	63%	37%	3.68	2,490
2025 Q4	2,770	64%	36%	3.71	2,240

Key takeaways

Production peaked in Q3 2025 (3,120 kt), coinciding with the Brazilian off-cycle bumper crop.
Green bean prices declined steadily through mid-2025 but showed signs of stabilizing in Q4.

Annual output by major producing region, 2024 vs 2025.

Region	Country	2024 (kt)	2025 (kt)	Change	Growth	2024 %	2025 %
S. America	Brazil	3,410	4,180	+770	+23%	34.1%	36.7%
	Colombia	810	870	+60	+7%	8.1%	7.6%
	Peru	380	410	+30	+8%	3.8%	3.6%
S. America		4,600	5,460	+860	+19%	46.0%	47.9%
SE Asia	Vietnam	1,920	1,980	+60	+3%	19.2%	17.4%
	Indonesia	780	830	+50	+6%	7.8%	7.3%
SE Asia		2,700	2,810	+110	+4%	27.0%	24.6%
Africa	Ethiopia	520	580	+60	+12%	5.2%	5.1%
	Uganda	390	440	+50	+13%	3.9%	3.9%
Africa		910	1,020	+110	+12%	9.1%	8.9%
C. America	Honduras	410	450	+40	+10%	4.1%	3.9%
	Guatemala	240	260	+20	+8%	2.4%	2.3%
C. America		650	710	+60	+9%	6.5%	6.2%
Other	India + rest	1,140	1,400	+260	+23%	11.4%	12.3%
TOTAL		10,000	11,400	+1,400	+14%

Key takeaways

Brazil alone accounted for 55% of global production growth, extending its lead as the dominant origin.
SE Asia's share declined 2.4pp despite modest absolute growth — Vietnam's Robusta-heavy output is growing slower than the Arabica-led global trend.
Africa is growing steadily (+12%) but remains under 9% of global output.

Estimated annual consumption (imports + domestic use) by consuming region. Based on ICO disappearance data.

Region	2024 (kt)	2025 (kt)	Growth	Per-capita (kg)	% of Global
Europe	3,420	3,510	+3%	5.1	33.0%
N. America	1,880	1,950	+4%	4.8	18.3%
East Asia	1,310	1,720	+31%	0.9	16.2%
S. America (domestic)	1,250	1,290	+3%	5.7	12.1%
SE Asia (domestic)	810	890	+10%	1.2	8.4%
Middle East & Africa	620	690	+11%	0.4	6.5%
Other	510	590	+16%	—	5.5%
TOTAL	9,800	10,640	+9%

Key takeaways

East Asia (+31%) is the clear growth driver — China, Japan, and South Korea all posted double-digit consumption increases.
Europe remains the largest consuming region (33%) but is growing slowly (+3%), consistent with a mature, saturated market.
Global consumption grew 9% while production grew 14%, widening the surplus and putting downward pressure on prices.

Deployed with sharehtml.